Home >

Policy Expectations Dragged Down Cotton Futures

2010/7/5 15:23:00 34

Policy Cotton Futures

  

Zhengzhou cotton futures

1101 contract on Friday (May 21st) newspaper closed at 16895 yuan / ton, down 1.08%.

As the NDRC is seriously concerned about the rising trend of cotton prices, the policy is expected to bring pressure to the market. Even so, the gap between supply and demand is further expanded, and the decline of cotton futures is limited.


In terms of weather, the temperature in the northern part of Xinjiang is low and rain is not conducive to the growth of cotton in recent years. The temperature in southern Xinjiang is rising, but strong winds and sand are not conducive to the growth of cotton. The rainfall in the Yellow River basin is generally conducive to cotton growth. The intensity of rainfall in some parts of the Yangtze River Basin is too high, which is not conducive to cotton growth.

In recent years, some cotton seedlings have been affected by low temperature, heavy rain and strong winds, and some of them need to be re planted. The level of domestic production may decline, and the total output is expected to be unchanged from 09 years.

In the western regions of the United States, the general rainfall is conducive to cotton growth; the central and southern regions generally have large rainfall, and the flood range is large, which is not conducive to the growth of cotton.

cotton

Growth.

It is estimated that the US cotton area will grow by 15%, and the sowing schedule and growth status will be the same as in previous years.


Spot market, 21, the domestic 328 spot price index continued to rise slightly, the acceleration has accelerated.

Due to the strong demand in the downstream market, the stock is in urgent need.

The mainstream factory greatly increased cotton purchase quotation, further promoting spot price rise.

On the other hand, cotton enterprises are reluctant to wait and see, waiting for prices to continue to rise.

Recently, textile enterprises in Shandong, Hunan, Zhejiang and other places have been getting cotton import quotas, and the NDRC has continued to study measures to curb the rise in cotton prices. The spot rally may slow down, but it is hard to stop because global inventory levels are at a low level.

At present, the stock market has strong support for the futures market.


Downstream market, recently, Qian Qing

All cotton yarn

Prices rose slightly, sales were good, the price of cotton yarn slipped, other yarn sales in general; Shandong Changyi market remained stable, sales volume in general; Shengze market full cotton yarn trading volume was not high, prices slightly increased, blended yarn products and polyester cotton yarn varieties prices continue to rise, the human cotton yarn market is still available, volume is not large; Jiangsu Changzhou Hutang all cotton yarn varieties, polyester cotton yarn sales rise.

The expected slowdown in the EU's economic growth may affect some exports.

But nationwide, cotton yarn hoarding enthusiasm is rising, textile mills are basically in short supply, orders are full, and big factories continue to raise prices.

The growth of the textile industry is much better than previously expected, and the global cotton yarn situation is more optimistic. China's imports of cotton yarn from Pakistan are hindered by the rising tariffs, and the demand for domestic cotton yarn is further expanded.

This is very advantageous to cotton futures.


In general, the European sovereign debt crisis is coming to an end and has become the pressure of economic growth in the United States.

European countries need to tighten their spending so that economic growth slows down, and they also affect their demand for American goods.

As a result, the US stock market has plummeted, and the rise in unemployment has contributed to the decline.

Some data are also available.


Reflecting the slowdown in the US economic recovery and optimistic expectations, the worries about the decline in commodity demand growth are beginning to show.

Crude oil fell sharply, bringing heavy pressure to all commodity futures.

Cotton in Zhengzhou is affected by this influence.

As the NDRC is seriously concerned about the rising trend of cotton prices, some recent policy expectations have put pressure on the market.

Even so, the resources and measures available to the government have been very limited and missed an important opportunity to stimulate the cotton planting area to pick up.

On the other hand, domestic demand for cotton yarn is strong, and the demand for international clothing continues to improve, resulting in a further expansion of supply and demand gap.

Cotton futures will overcome the immediate drag and may not take too much time.

  • Related reading

Textile And Garment Industry: The Focus Of Investment Will Return To The Brand Retail Industry

Finance and economics topics
|
2010/7/5 15:22:00
50

Song Chi Shares: Passenger Car Air Conditioning Will Promote The Company's New Round Of Expansion.

Finance and economics topics
|
2010/7/5 15:20:00
47

Commentary: Heavyweight Stabilizes &Nbsp; Stock Index Falls 19 Points.

Finance and economics topics
|
2010/7/5 15:18:00
34

The End Of "Blood And Sweat"?

Finance and economics topics
|
2010/7/5 15:16:00
30

Zhongtian Technology: Network Transformation Of Hundreds Of Billions Of Market To Be Divided

Finance and economics topics
|
2010/7/3 14:54:00
40
Read the next article

ABC Children'S Shoes Were Selected As "China'S 500 Most Valuable Brand".

ABC children's products won the seventh "China's 500 most valuable brand" with the brand value of 1 billion 238 million yuan, ranking 469th, becoming the only Chinese children's product brand that was selected for the list.