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Cotton Industry Warning: Objective And Rational Response To &Nbsp; Guard Against High Risk

2010/9/18 10:37:00 59

Cotton


At present, subject to

relation between supply and demand

And bullish psychological impact, futures, electronic matching, dumping and spot prices rose sharply, domestic

New cotton

The acquisition price of sporadic seed cotton exceeds 8 yuan / kg.

New York futures

Prices also reached the highest level in nearly 15 years.


In September 13th, the China Cotton Association held the three Executive Council of the two session to analyze the situation of cotton production, purchase and sale this year.

The delegates generally agreed that the cotton area is basically flat this year, and the output will probably decrease slightly compared with the previous year, due to climate and natural disasters.

At present, the textile situation has improved over the 7 and August off-season, and the demand for the new year is expected to continue to increase and the gap will be enlarged slightly.

At present, cotton price is a reflection of normal supply and demand relationship, which is conducive to increasing cotton farmers' income and stabilizing cotton planting area next year, but high cotton price means bringing high risks to cotton enterprises and textile enterprises.

In the face of the "double high" situation in the new cotton market, delegates thought that there were still many uncertainties in the late market, such as RMB appreciation, economic situation in Europe and America, green trade barriers, etc., and should be "calm analysis, rational response and risk prevention".

At the same time, we should also note that although China's output may be slightly reduced, according to the September ICAC, the United States, Uzbekistan, Brazil and India will increase 52%, 25%, 27% and 13% respectively in 2010, and the world's cotton output reaches 25 million 110 thousand tons, up 15.4% over the previous year, and the global consumption is 25 million 70 thousand tons, and the overall balance of supply and demand in the international market.

Therefore, most delegates think that the price of seed cotton scale is 7.6-8 yuan / kg this year, and the selling price is reasonable at about 18 thousand / ton, which is beneficial to the three sides of agriculture, industry and commerce.


On the morning of September 15th, the national development and Reform Commission convened the relevant departments to convene a joint meeting of the national cotton macro-control, analyzed the supply and demand situation this year, and studied the measures to stabilize the market.

It is not possible to extend the quota for the import of cotton quotas this year and advance the quota for next year.


China Cotton Association reminds all parties in the industry to pay close attention to the change of cotton production and textile situation at home and abroad, dispassionate analysis, rational response, do not follow the trend of speculation, and guard against operational risks.

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