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The Advantages Of Domestic Yarn Are Emerging. The Advantages Of Imported Yarn Are No Longer Dominant.

2015/8/10 10:33:00 16

CottonInternetBig DataWechatTextile

In recent years Import yarn Gradually, the impact of imported yarn is the biggest and the most injured. Domestic yarn Along with cotton The price reduction and the development of the cotton textile industry have their advantages. With the development of China's cotton market and the development of the futures market, are we looking forward to the return of the Chinese yarn?

Now you say you're in. Internet (WEB) era, then you out, now is the DT era (data technology). The commercial application of the DT technology is through massive data collection and analysis, for example, by analyzing various social communication tools such as chat records, e-mail, transmission documents, market enquiry mainstream varieties, transaction price and other big data, we can reveal the future trend of a certain commodity market and play an important role in production, trade and economic decision-making. This is a technical activity, which requires analysts to have very high mathematical and statistical literacy. There is also a special term -- big data analysis or public opinion analysis. A public opinion analyst abroad needs special examination cards, and the salaries of the relevant posts are very high. At present, the big data analysis of cotton and cotton yarn industry has attracted the attention of relevant organizations.

Recently, the import content of several famous imported yarn WeChat group and QQ group's chatting content has changed quietly. The owners of imported yarn made the call before the night, and deep fried the midnight price to offer the screen. These groups do not allow purchasers of downstream weaving factories to join. It is said that in order to prevent buyers from inquiring about the source of goods and the market price, the imported yarn salesmen keep on cleaning the screen every day, but buyers can not see them. They do not tell the truth between their peers, and try to explore the competitors' cards, or simply do not speak in diving. So QQ group and WeChat group have become the standard "entertainment group". In addition, some trade companies which were formerly imported by the yarn trade losses turned to the domestic yarn business. The salesmen who sold large quantities of imported yarn were already crying out for domestic yarns in the group. They had sold the Wei Qiao yarn, sold Zhangjiagang Hua Fang yarn, and also sold Xinjiang gauze, and their business performance slightly improved. At the same time, there was a trend of spread. I believe that in the near future, the opportunity for domestic yarn to be ready is likely to reappear.

The same phenomenon has also emerged in the field of production. Recently, I was doing research in the front line of spinning and weaving production in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces. A friend of Zhejiang Lanxi weaving mill showed me his purchase contract. The price of 32 pieces of India yarn was 20200 yuan per ton, and the price of 32 domestic yarn was 20600 yuan per ton. Because the price difference between imported yarn and domestic yarn is not large, weaving factories are more inclined to use domestic yarn. We have made the SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) of domestic yarns, and found that with the reduction of domestic cotton prices and the further decrease of raw material costs, the advantages of domestic yarn are beginning to show and competitiveness is much stronger than before.

1) available at any time, and the downstream weaving factories do not need to stock up their raw materials, so that they can be purchased and used to reduce the pressure of capital occupation.

2) good after-sales service, common yarn defects and sudden yarn defects can be quickly resolved.

3) flexible way of settlement, foreign yarn suppliers do not see letter of credit will not be shipped. Domestic cotton mills can accept various ways of payment, such as checks and acceptance bills, which are flexible and flexible.

4) there is a continuous and stable supply guarantee. In general, trans provincial transportation can also be carried out overnight, so as not to cause the weaving factories to "cut grain".

Therefore, even if the price of domestic yarn is slightly higher, downstream factories are acceptable. In recent years, with the continuous decline of cotton prices, the cost of raw materials of domestic textile enterprises has been further reduced, and the advantages of domestic yarn have gradually emerged. Downstream textile and dyeing enterprises are also increasingly interested in domestic yarn.

On the contrary, although imported yarn has an advantage in price in the past few years, there are also many problems exposed in the import and use links. For example:

1) when the market price changes, the performance rate of foreign suppliers is very low.

2) the quality of imported yarn is basically based on "gambling". For example, the use of imported yarn is like buying a watermelon from a long distance. It's tasty and tasty. We need to wait until the watermelon is cut. Only when you find out that the quality of the imported yarn is defective, and if you want to find a supplier theory, I can only answer two words: ha ha.

3) the single way of settlement, the protection of the seller's interests by the settlement of letters of credit, the signing of bills of lading, and the wrong delivery of goods are common practice.

4) import yarn can not be continuously guaranteed, suppliers may be terminated at any time because of war, strikes and accidents.

After the above SWOT analysis, combined with the big data analysis of market information obtained from the first line of production, we believe that the future domestic yarn should have a great opportunity in the domestic market. We expect that with the return of textile orders in the downstream production enterprises in 2017-2018 years, the cotton and cotton yarn consumption will rebound, and the impact of imported yarn on the domestic cotton textile industry will be eased. As the price difference between domestic yarn and imported yarn has obviously narrowed, in recent months, some textile factories have abandoned imported yarn and selected domestic yarn in some areas.

Of course, the tug of war of domestic yarns and yarns will continue. Factors such as raw material cost, raw material quality, labor productivity, energy and environment will all affect the price of yarns. Cotton spinning enterprises should strengthen their strengths and circumvent weaknesses, find the "pain spot" of the downstream weaving factories in China, seize the time to make adjustments, and if they wait passively, they may lose another opportunity. With the acceleration of the marketization of China's cotton market and the reform of the quota system, we believe that the competitiveness of domestic yarns in the international market will become stronger and stronger in the future.

It is said that the cotton yarn futures contract varieties listed on the Zhengzhou commodity futures exchange are 32 ring spinning pure cotton yarns, which will produce a global "Zhengzhou price". This "Zhengzhou price" will become the "weathervane" of China's cotton textile industry. With the cotton yarn futures variety as a hedge tool, the production and operation of China's cotton yarn production enterprises can be more stable and durable. In the current context of the Internet embracing traditional enterprises, Chinese traditional cotton textile enterprises use network advantages to integrate cotton and textile supply chain, enhance product quality, and enhance the success of the competition with the overall advantage of supply chain and the competition of "yarn and foreign cloth".

In this way, the time for domestic yarn to be ready is probably not far away, and we are gradually seeing the dawn of the domestic yarn.

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