Conventional Varieties "Rise From The Dead", Textile Market Demand To Improve?

According to the sample enterprises of China's silk net inspection, there are 38-39 days or so in Shengze's billet storage, which is lower than that in the early 40 days of September. However, compared with the same period last year, it is still at a high level of grey cloth inventory.

As a platform between weaving manufacturers and garment buyers, traders now begin to eat large quantities of grey cloth at low prices. Does that mean that the next textile market will improve?


01


Raw material prices are in a historical position.


Judging from raw materials, the price of raw materials has been ups and downs this year, but the fluctuation range is not very large. On the whole, the price of raw materials has been close to the historical position. For example, the price of polyester filament FDY50D/24F is about 8800 yuan, and the price was 12600 yuan in the same period last year, which has dropped by 3800 yuan. Polyester filament POY150D/144F, for example, the current price of about 7800 yuan, the same period last year at around 11200 yuan, a sharp decrease of about 3400 yuan. Take polyester filament DTY100D/36F as an example, the current price is about 10000 yuan, compared with 13000 in the same period last year, a sharp decrease of about 3000 yuan.


Whether POY or FDY or DTY, prices are now close to the lowest level for two years, and it is hard to drop any further. The price of the future may not be lower than it is now, so there is a big rebound in the price of raw materials.


02


Silk is starting to improve.


Market trend, the key is to see whether the conventional varieties of goods are smooth, after all, do more conventional varieties of manufacturers. In the past few days, the weaving manufacturers revealed: Recently, our 75D24 twist Chiffon is very popular, and now there are more than 200 million meters of platoon, and the shipment is about 10 days, which is absolutely not before September.


Chiffon as the most common variety, in the 7 and August off-season, the phenomenon of a lot of dumping on the market, the street Hawking "to give money to sell", and even in the September survey, there are still manufacturers say there is still a phenomenon in the market, largely disrupting the market price, resulting in their Chiffon difficult to sell.


Now Chiffon is starting to improve. Even though the 200 million meters of the list is just a saying, it can also tell us that the market demand is still improving. The regular varieties are not going into a "dead end". Traders are buying in large quantities, perhaps preparing for spring and summer next year. After all, they are now making products with low price raw materials, and they can still sell at high prices next year when prices are good.


03


The international situation is beginning to improve.


The repeated trade between China and the United States has always been the focus of textile industry for nearly two years, and the tariff problem has been plaguing the textile market. On the 11 day, US President Trump announced that he would suspend tariffs on China for 15. He thought the two countries were "very close" to end the trade war.


The tax increase list of China and the United States covers almost all trade in goods. To the textile industry, the US tax increase list covers most of China's chemical fiber, yarn, fabric, carpet, industrial textiles, clothing and household textiles. For foreign trade, since the beginning of Sino US trade, the US side has been hesitant to do so. Many companies say this year has greatly shrunk the US list.


Now there is a sign of easing trade between China and the United States, so there may be a bigger breakthrough in foreign trade in the coming Christmas season. The backlog may be able to be issued before, and the profits that shrink may also be restored.


04


Market is cyclical


The words "shutting down factories, stopping production, reducing production and holidays" are common in this year. Textile is known as "the worst year". This year's market has hit many textile people's confidence, and selling factory is not new. But the market is cyclical. The textile market has always been saying "good three years and bad three years". This year it has reached the bottom and may rebound next year. There are still many textile companies that are looking forward to the market.


"The most important problem this year is overcapacity. Now that there are so many factories closing, the market can always pick up later. I think it will be better next year, even if it is not good next year." One person in charge of nearly 1000 looms said.


"Kim Gu" is not "gold", "silver ten" seems to be hard enough, but then the temperature turns cold, double eleven electricity supplier season, Christmas season is around the corner, plus all the positive factors, the market may be warmer in the past few years. If textile people can carry their wallet in the new year, let's see what the market trend is going to be in the next 3 months.